Research
WORK in progress
Climate and Macroeconomic Volatility (with Leonardo N. Ferreira and Marco Tibullo)
What Drives the Potential for Green Innovation? Uncovering Regional Factors and Policy Implications
(with Friedrich Lucke and Matteo Ciccarelli).
Estimation of Partially Observed AR(p) Time Series (with Liudas Giraitis and Peter C. B. Phillips)
Capital Requirements and Carbon Emissions: Climate Misalignment in Prudential Regulation? (with Matteo Gasparini)
WORKING PAPERS
Inflation expectations in the context of climate change and the green transition ( with Gabriele Galati, Richhild Moessner and Maarten van RooiJ) [working paper available soon]
Commitment vs Credibility: Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Policy Uncertainty (with Maria Sole Pagliari e Jasper de Winter) [working paper, submitted]
Do common shocks drive changes in aggregate emissions intensity?(with Xiyu Ren and François Lafond)
Vulnerability to Climate Change: Evidence from a Dynamic Factor Model (with Haroon Mumtaz). Smith School Working Paper 23-06. [working paper]
Estimation of Cyclical Time Series: an Application to Central England Temperatures (with Liudas Giraitis and Peter C. B. Phillips). Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper 2409. [working paper, submitted]
PUBLICATIONS
The impact of fiscal spending on climate change adaptation and resilience: a COVID-19 case study (with Alexandra Sadler, Nicola Ranger, Sam Fankhauser, Brian O’Callaghan), Nature Sustainability, 2024.
Demand or supply? An empirical exploration of the effects of climate change on the macroeconomy (with Matteo Ciccarelli), Energy Economics, 2023.
Estimation on unevenly spaced time series (with Liudas Giraitis), Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2023
POLICY WORK
The Macroeconomic Consequences of Defense Spending (with Bas Heerma van Voss, Daan de Leeuw, Camille Mehlbaum, Andra Smadu, Irina Stanga, Stefan Wöhrmüller) DNB Analysis, February 2026.
Uncertainty and Climate Policy in the Netherlands: Measure and Economic effects (with Maria Sole Pagliari and Jasper de Winter) DNB Analysis, May 2025.
Reforming the Global Financial Architecture to Drive a Resilient Net-Zero Transition (with Nicola Ranger, Brian O’callaghan and Sam Fankhauser ), T20 Policy Brief, July 2023.
Securing Climate Compatible Growth: The role of fiscal policy in driving the resilient transition through times of crisis (with Nicola Ranger and Sam Fankhauser ), UNEP Policy Brief, December 2022.
Review of macroeconomic modelling in the Eurosystem: current practices and scope for improvement (with Darracq Paries, Matthieu, et al.), ECB Occasional Paper Series No 267 / September 2021.
refereeing activity
Journal of Econometrics, Journal of the European Economic Association, Journal of Money Credit and Banking, European Economic Review, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Energy Economics, Nature sustainability, Nature Communications, Environmental and Resource Economics, Journal of Climate Finance, Highlights of Sustainability, Economic Modelling.
RESTING PAPERS
Mitigating the Impact of Global Food Price Shocks: Pass-throughs in Climate Vulnerable Countries (with Mathias Weidinger and Jasper Verschuur).